Tsunami Tuesday: It's On!
So here are my combined predictions and feelings on the 5 major candidates.
Republicans
Mitt Romney
Feelings: While on paper, Mitt is the "best" conservative, there's something about him I don't like. Maybe it's the too-perfect hair. As far as I'm concerned, his credentials are shaky at best. I'd rather not have to stomach a vote for him.
Thoughts: I think Mitt Romney could still compete after tomorrow, depending on which states he picks up. California is in play, but the only states he's guaranteed to win tomorrow are Massachusetts and Utah (his home turfs).
Mike Huckabee
Feelings: I like Mike, but perhaps not as president. I'd hate to see him fade completely into the background. I also have my doubts as to whether he'd be a good VP pick for either Romney or McCain.
Thoughts: If Huckabee does not come in first in one state tomorrow, he's done.
John McCain
Feelings: Although I am a longtime McCain adversary, I do respect him. One thing I will say for him is that he doesn't back down from his convictions. Then again, neither does George W. Bush.
Thoughts: McCain will leap ahead today, and he might be able to lock up the nomination as a definitive front-runner if Romney has a poor showing.
Democrats
Hillary Clinton
Feelings: I don't see Hillary Clinton as the specter of all that is evil, nor do I really think she'd bring about Armageddon. I do think she is one of the shrewdest politicians in recent history, and I don't think she's our best choice for president.
Thoughts: The Democratic race seems like it could go either way. California is in play, and so are several other key states. She will win in New York, but all the rest is determined by who shows up to vote.
Barack Obama
Feelings: After seeing him on Sunday, I came away impressed by his skills as a speaker, and actually by the depth of his message. While I certainly have my differences with him on many issues, I think he speaks with conviction. I also think he'd be smart enough to choose someone with major foreign policy experience as his running mate to make up for his own lack of experience.
Thoughts: If he wins California and splits the rest of the states with Hillary, this will most likely spark a long campaign, which could potentially last until the Democratic Convention.
Final:
In the end, I think the Democrats have a better than 60-40 shot at winning in November (obviously not accounting for unforeseen circumstances) right now, and if my choice in my next president is really between Hillary and Barack, I'm going for Barack.
(numbers from RealClearPolitics)
Republicans
Mitt Romney
Feelings: While on paper, Mitt is the "best" conservative, there's something about him I don't like. Maybe it's the too-perfect hair. As far as I'm concerned, his credentials are shaky at best. I'd rather not have to stomach a vote for him.
Thoughts: I think Mitt Romney could still compete after tomorrow, depending on which states he picks up. California is in play, but the only states he's guaranteed to win tomorrow are Massachusetts and Utah (his home turfs).
Mike Huckabee
Feelings: I like Mike, but perhaps not as president. I'd hate to see him fade completely into the background. I also have my doubts as to whether he'd be a good VP pick for either Romney or McCain.
Thoughts: If Huckabee does not come in first in one state tomorrow, he's done.
John McCain
Feelings: Although I am a longtime McCain adversary, I do respect him. One thing I will say for him is that he doesn't back down from his convictions. Then again, neither does George W. Bush.
Thoughts: McCain will leap ahead today, and he might be able to lock up the nomination as a definitive front-runner if Romney has a poor showing.
Democrats
Hillary Clinton
Feelings: I don't see Hillary Clinton as the specter of all that is evil, nor do I really think she'd bring about Armageddon. I do think she is one of the shrewdest politicians in recent history, and I don't think she's our best choice for president.
Thoughts: The Democratic race seems like it could go either way. California is in play, and so are several other key states. She will win in New York, but all the rest is determined by who shows up to vote.
Barack Obama
Feelings: After seeing him on Sunday, I came away impressed by his skills as a speaker, and actually by the depth of his message. While I certainly have my differences with him on many issues, I think he speaks with conviction. I also think he'd be smart enough to choose someone with major foreign policy experience as his running mate to make up for his own lack of experience.
Thoughts: If he wins California and splits the rest of the states with Hillary, this will most likely spark a long campaign, which could potentially last until the Democratic Convention.
Final:
In the end, I think the Democrats have a better than 60-40 shot at winning in November (obviously not accounting for unforeseen circumstances) right now, and if my choice in my next president is really between Hillary and Barack, I'm going for Barack.
(numbers from RealClearPolitics)
Labels: 2008 Watch, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Huckabee, McCain, Romney
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